Shock NYT Poll Finds Harris Trailing Biden’s 2020 NYC Lead Over Trump By Double Digits

Vice President Kamala Harris has a massive leader over former President Donald Trump in New York City but is far behind where President Joe Biden stood with New Yorkers in 2020, according to a new poll.

A Saturday New York Times/Siena College poll found Harris leading Trump 66 percent to 27 percent among registered voters in Trump’s native New York City. She led Trump 66 percent to 27 percent among likely voters.

Seven percent of likely voters in New York who answered the survey said they were undecided. Harris’s biggest base of support was Manhattan, where 76 percent of respondents said they intended to vote for her.

Trump’s biggest bases of support were in Staten Island, where he had the support of 51 percent of respondents and Queens – where he grew up – where 41 percent of respondents said they supported the former president.

If the poll is accurate, Harris is 11 points behind Biden, who took the city with 76 percent of the vote compared to Trump’s 23 percent four years ago.

The polling, which is not necessarily good news for Trump in New York, comes a day before his scheduled rally at Madison Square Garden. Friday, the Trump campaign said of the rally:

Today, President Trump announced the speaker lineup for his historic Sunday rally at the legendary Madison Square Garden in New York City. The program includes political icons, celebrities, musical artists, and friends and family of President Trump who will all discuss how President Trump is the best choice to fix everything that Kamala Harris broke. This epic event, in the heart of President Trump’s home city, will be a showcase of the historic political movement that President Trump has built in the final days of the campaign.

The New York Times/Siena College poll connected with 853 voters in New York City in English and Spanish from Oct 20 to 23, 2024.

The survey reported a margin of error margin of +/- 3.8 percentage points among the likely voters and +/- 3.9 percentage points among registered voters.